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GTA Real Estate Market Insights: May 2024 Market Recap

Greetings, GTA homebuyers and sellers! As we step into June, it's time to reflect on the dynamic real estate landscape that unfolded throughout May 2024. Join us as we uncover the latest insights and trends from the past month, offering a clear perspective on what May's market stats mean for your real estate journey. At Jim Stanton & Associates, our commitment to providing you with valuable information remains steadfast. Let's explore together the opportunities and possibilities that await in the ever-evolving GTA market.

Market Summary: In May 2024, the GTA real estate market showed mixed signals:

  • Sales Momentum: Compared to the same period last year, sales decreased by 21.7%. There was a month-over-month decrease of 1.42%.

  • Listing Dynamics: New listings were up 21.1% from 2023 and 9.9% month-over-month.

  • Active Listings: Active listings saw a significant increase, up 83.3% from 2023 and 20.3% from April 2024.

  • Price Trends: The average price for homes was down 2.5% year-over-year but saw a slight increase of 0.8% month-over-month.

  • Balanced Market: With 3 months of inventory available, the market was balanced.

  • Time to Sell: Days on Market remained stable month-over-month.

Click here to view the TRREB Market Watch Report for May 2024

What's happening locally? Durham & Toronto Market Insights

Every city/town is unique as are the communities within them. Scroll through to find your town.

Interest Rates

On June 5th, the Bank of Canada decreased its policy interest rate by 25 basis points. This is the first move since July 2023 and the first reduction since it began increasing the rate in March 2022 from its record low of 0.25%. The last time interest rates were lowered by the Bank of Canada was when the Bank dropped rates to an all-time low at the onset of the pandemic in March 2023.

What Does This Mean for Buyers and Sellers?

For Buyers:

Buyers are poised to benefit from the recent interest rate reduction, which is expected to increase buying power and push more buyers into the market. As a general rule of thumb, a ¼ point decrease in interest rates adds about $10,000 to the average borrower's buying power, though this depends on individual circumstances. However, with more buying power, competition is likely to heat up, especially for entry-level homes. Lower rates can be tempting, but remember that while waiting for further reductions, competition will likely increase. If you buy now, you pay today's prices and can always refinance at a lower rate later. Waiting might get you a lower rate, but you'll likely be paying a higher price.

For Sellers:

Luxury homes have been taking longer to sell in the higher interest rate environment. Hang in there; lower rates may bring more buyers. Expect competition to increase even more on entry-level homes like townhomes and links. These homes are always in demand, and these changes will only spur more competition. With rates finally starting to come down, now is the time to plan your next move. Information is power, and you only benefit by starting the process now.

Conclusion:

In conclusion, May 2024 witnessed a mix of trends in the GTA real estate market, presenting a balanced environment for both buyers and sellers alike. Despite fluctuations in sales compared to last year, there was a notable month-over-month decrease. The surge in new and active listings indicates a healthy influx of properties, while pricing trends remained relatively stable. With inventory levels maintaining a balance, the market is poised for potential changes depending on the upcoming interest rate adjustments. Looking ahead, proactive engagement will be key for both buyers and sellers to capitalize on emerging opportunities. At Jim Stanton & Associates, we're dedicated to providing the guidance and support necessary for navigating this dynamic landscape effectively.

Get the Help You Need:

Regardless of the statistics and the market, you have your own reasons for making a move. A big life event, ambitions, the need to upsize or downsize, or even relocate. The key is to ensure you have someone in your corner representing your best interests. Let us be your guide. Contact Us Today!

Call Jim at 905-409-9967

MORE MARKET INSIGHTS (Markham/Stouffville & Port Hope/Cobourg)

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🍖🎉 Unleash Your Inner Foodie at Durham Region's Sizzling RibFest Events! 🍖🎉

Originally published June 1, 2023. Updated for 2024

Hey foodies and adventurers! Brian here, one of my favourite foods is ribs. Sauced up and fall off the bone. I don't have them often but I almost always get some at one of Durham Region's Summer Ribfests. If you're a barbecue lover, you're in for a treat because Durham Region is heating up with its finger-licking, lip-smacking RibFest events now! 

Durham Region's RibFest Events feature a mix of tantalizing barbecue and craft beer vendors from across the region and beyond. In addition to ribs and BBQ, many offer a wide array of food options, a midway experience full of rides and carnival games, craft beer options, and even shuttle services to get to and from the grounds.

Grab your napkins, mark your calendars, and get ready to embark on a mouthwatering journey through the region's finest rib festivals. Let's dive in!

Bowmanville's Rocking Rotary Ribs & Brews Date: June 7th to 9th, 2024 Location: Clarington Fields 2375 Baseline Rd. Clarington

Kicking off the rib-tastic extravaganza is Clarington RibFest! Enjoy mouthwatering ribs, a full midway experience plus tons of vendors. The family-friendly atmosphere and live music add to the festivities, making it the perfect event to kick off the summer with your family.

Pickering Rotary RibFest Date: June 14th to 16th, 2024  Location: 1 The Esplanade Park, Pickering.

If you missed out on Clarington that's okay. Next on the list is the next up is the Pickering RibFest is hosted by the Rotary Club of Pickering at near the Pickering Town Centre.

Uxbridge Ribfest Date: June 14th to 16th, 2024 Location: Elgin Park.

Uxbridge’s Ribfest features 4 of North America’s Best Rib Teams coming from Florida, Alabama, BC and Ontario. These “Pitmasters” are ready to serve you and your friends Award-Winning Mouth-Watering BBQ Smoked Ribs.

Whitby Sunrise Rotary RibFest Date: July 12th to 14th, 2024 Location: Victoria Fields, 345 Watson St W, Whitby

Whitby RibFest by Rotary Sunrise at Whitby Harbour! Like Clarington, enjoy a full midway experience and tons of marketplace vendors to shop, and a full line-up of live music all 3 days. Our good friend Bobby McBride from Investing with Bobby is coordinating the musical acts this year so it’s sure to be a hit. He’s even pulled together a custom playlist for in between acts. Check it out here.

Oshawa RibFest Date: August 16th to August 18th, 2024 Location: Lakeview Park, 55 Lakeview Park Ave, Oshawa

Last but not least, The Oshawa RibFest is another can't-miss event! Located in the picturesque Lakeview Park in South Oshawa. Enjoy the ribs, vendors, and live entertainment all weekend long.

So there you have it, folks – a rundown of Durham Region's sizzling RibFest events! Whether you're a local foodie or just seeking delightful experiences, these festivals are a smokey and sweet BBQ journey you don't want to miss. Plan your visit, bring your family and your appetite, and get ready to feast on some of the best ribs around. Happy RibFest-ing!

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GTA Real Estate Market Insights: April 2024 Market Recap

Greetings, GTA homebuyers and sellers! As we step into May, it's time to reflect on the dynamic real estate landscape that unfolded throughout April 2024. Join us as we uncover the latest insights and trends from the past month, offering a clear perspective on what April's market stats mean for your real estate journey. At Jim Stanton & Associates, our commitment to providing you with valuable information remains steadfast. Let's explore together the opportunities and possibilities that await in the ever-evolving GTA market.

Market Summary

In April 2024, the GTA real estate market stabalized:

  • Sales Momentum: Compared to the same period last year, sales came down 5%. There was a month-over-month increase of 8.45%.

  • Listing Dynamics: New listings skyrocketed year-over-year increase of 47.2% and a month-over-month increase of 29.12%

  • Price Trends: The average price was stable increasiing 0.3% compared to last year and a with an increase of 3.08% from the previous month.

  • Slight Seller's Advantage: With 2.54 months of inventory available the market was more balanced. Sellers maintained a slight position of strength.

  • Time to Sell: Days on Market remained stable month-over-month and with listings taking a couple days more to sell year-over-year. 

What's happening locally? Durham & Toronto Market Insights

Every city/town is unique as are the communities within them. Scroll through to find your town.

Interest Rates

On April 10th. The Bank of Canada maintained its policy rate. The next scheduled announcement is June 5th. While the Bank has not committed to any specific direction signs are positive that interest rates will be coming down in the future.

What Does This Mean for Buyers and Sellers?

For Buyers:

Buyers benefited from increased in inventory in April and a relatively consistent timeframe to buy although that varies from market to market. The key for buyers will be what happens in June when the Bank of Canada makes it’s next interest rate announcement. The marke is still competitive but it will get even busier if rates come down. Hopefully if that happens more would be sellers will decide to put their home on the market.

  • Is May your ideal time to buy?: If rates come down in June more buyers will undoubtedly hit the market and only the presence of a massive increase in sellers will keep pricing down.

  • First Time/Renters vs. Movers:  Movers can handle a more competitive market because what they spend in their purchase they can also make up for in their sale. If you are a first time buyer or a renter looking to own you don’t have that advantage. 

For Sellers:

Despite a rise in sales and a surge in new listings, low inventory levels persist, intensifying buyer competition and fostering ample opportunities for sellers. While the spring market may be progressing, don't hesitate to act, even amidst the allure of awaiting more favorable mortgage rates. Consider this:

  • Start Now: If you want to make a move before the school bells ring next year now is the time to act. Get your home prepared to sell. Check out our informative Instagram Reel on this very topic HERE.

  • Preparation Meets Opportunity: Many sellers are waiting or rates to drop to make a move and that’s understandable. We all know rate relief is on the horizon so start today and be prepared to make your move ahead of the market.

Conclusion:

In conclusion, April 2024 witnessed a stabilization in the GTA real estate market, presenting a balanced environment for both buyers and sellers alike. Despite fluctuations in sales compared to last year, there was notable momentum with an increase from the previous month. The surge in new listings indicates a healthy influx of properties, while pricing trends remained steady. With inventory levels maintaining a modest balance, sellers retained a slight advantage, yet the market remained competitive, particularly in anticipation of potential interest rate adjustments. Looking ahead, proactive engagement will be key for both buyers and sellers to capitalize on emerging opportunities. At Jim Stanton & Associates, we're dedicated to providing the guidance and support necessary for navigating this dynamic landscape effectively.

Get the Help You Need:

Regardless of the statistics and the market you have your own reasons for making a move. A big life event, ambitions, the need to upsize or downsize or even relocate. The key is to ensure you have someone in your corner representing your best interests. Let us be your guide. Contact Us Today!

Call Jim at 905 409 9967

MORE MARKET INSIGHTS (Markham/Stouffville & Port Hope/Cobourg)

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Greetings, GTA homebuyers and sellers! As we reflect on the bustling real estate activities of March 2024, we're thrilled to share insights that paint a vivid picture of opportunity in our dynamic market. At Jim Stanton & Associates, our dedication to keeping you informed remains steadfast. Join us as we analyze the numbers from last month and explore what they mean for your future in real estate.

Market Summary

The GTA real estate market remained busy through March:

  • Sales Momentum: Compared to the same period last year, sales came down 4.5% yet there was a significant month-over-month increase of 17%.
  • Listing Dynamics: New listings experienced a year-over-year increase of 15% and a comparable month-over-month increase of 15%.
  • Price Trends: The average price demonstrated steady growth, with a 1.3% increase compared to last year and a stable increase of 1.16% from the previous month.
  • Seller's Advantage: With 1.9 months of inventory available, sellers continued to enjoy favorable conditions in the market.

What's happening locally? Durham & Toronto Market Insights

Every city/town is unique as are the communities within them. Scroll through to find your town.

March 2024 Market Stats Toronto
 

Interest Rates

On March 6th the Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 5% for the 6th consecutive time. The next announcement is on April 10th. While many predict rates to come down at some point in 2024 consensus seems to be the Bank of Canada will hold again for the 7th time on April 10th. We'll update this post when the news comes in.

What Does This Mean for Buyers and Sellers?

For Buyers:

Buyers will benefit from increases in inventory as the Spring Market chugs along but they now have less time to buy with Days on Market for many property types across the GTA coming down. To ensure success buyers should:

  • Be Ready to Act: Don't miss out on an opportunity. With homes selling faster be prepared with your financing so you can make that offer on your dream home.

  • Date the Rate:  With rates expected to come down purchasing now will benefit you later in renewal. When rates do start to come down you can bet prices will go up.

For Sellers:

Despite a rise in sales and a surge in new listings, low inventory levels persist, intensifying buyer competition and fostering ample opportunities for sellers. While the spring market may be progressing, don't hesitate to act, even amidst the allure of awaiting more favorable mortgage rates. Consider this:

  • Seize the Moment: Higher demand could fetch you a premium price, potentially offsetting any future price increases when rates drop. Consider leveraging this opportunity to maximize returns, not only on the sale of your current property but also on your next home.

  • Favorable Outlook: With prices continuing to climb and properties spending less time on the market, now is an opportune time to strategize your next move. Confidence is key as positive trends persist in the market."


Conclusion:


In conclusion, March 2024 has unveiled a real estate landscape brimming with opportunities for both buyers and sellers across the GTA. Despite a slight dip in year-over-year sales, the market exhibited robust month-over-month growth, showcasing its resilience and dynamism. Sellers continue to enjoy favorable conditions with low inventory levels, while buyers can capitalize on the steady increase in available listings and stable pricing trends. As we eagerly anticipate the Bank of Canada's upcoming announcement on interest rates, it's imperative for buyers to act swiftly and sellers to seize the moment. Whether you're looking to enter the market or make a move, staying informed and proactive will be key to achieving your real estate goals in the months ahead. At Jim Stanton & Associates, we remain dedicated to guiding you through every step of your journey with expertise and insight.

Get the Help You Need

Regardless of the statistics and the market you have your own reasons for making a move. A big life event, ambitions, the need to upsize or downsize or even relocate. The key is to ensure you have someone in your corner representing your best interests. Let us be your guide. Contact Us Today!

 

MORE MARKET INSIGHTS (add stats for Markham/Stouffville & Port Hope/Cobourg)

March 2024 Market Stats Markham Stouffville


March 2024 Market Stats Port Hope & Cobourg
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February 2024 GTA Real Estate Market Update

Greetings, GTA homebuyers and sellers! As we step into March 2024, the real estate market continues to paint an exciting picture of growth and opportunity. At Jim Stanton & Associates, we're dedicated to providing you with the latest insights to help you make informed decisions in this dynamic environment. Let's delve into the numbers and what they mean for you.

Market Summary

In February 2024, the GTA real estate market witnessed notable shifts:

  • Sales Momentum: Compared to the same period last year, sales surged by an impressive 17.9%. Additionally, there was a significant month-over-month increase of 32%.
  • Listing Dynamics: New listings experienced a substantial uptick, with a year-over-year increase of 33.5% and a noteworthy month-over-month rise of 37%.
  • Price Trends: The average price demonstrated steady growth, with a 1.1% increase compared to last year and a substantial jump of almost 9% from the previous month.
  • Seller's Advantage: With 1.98 months of inventory available, sellers continued to enjoy favorable conditions in the market.

What's happening locally? Durham & Toronto Market Insights

Every city/town is unique as are the communities within them. Scroll through to find your town


February 2024 Market Stats Durham


February 2024 Market Stats Toronto

What Does This Mean for Buyers and Sellers?

For Buyers:

In a landscape where competition is heating up, but inventory is also rising (just not outpacing sales any longer). preparation is key. To capitalize on opportunities, buyers should:

  • Financial Readiness:  Ensure your finances are in order and work with a reputable lender who can provide guidance and support throughout the buying process.
  • Offer Strategy:  Familiarize yourself with different offer processes, including the Open Offer Process, to navigate negotiations effectively.
  • Market Value Analysis:  Gain insights into how list prices are determined and understand the true market value of a property to make informed decisions.

Opportunity Awaits:

With increasing inventory and the promise of even more homes hitting the market in the spring, now is an opportune time for buyers who are ready to make their move. By staying informed and prepared, buyers can navigate the competitive landscape with confidence and find the perfect home to suit their needs.

For Sellers:

While the market is currently favoring sellers, it's important to note that nothing is guaranteed. With the significant increase in new listings—up by 33.5% year-over-year and 37% month-over-month—buyers now have more options available to them. Consequently, not every home will attract multiple offers.

To position your home for success in this competitive landscape, focus on:

  • Accurate Pricing:  Ensure your home is priced competitively to attract the attention of potential buyers and encourage multiple offers.
  • Strategic Presentation:  Invest in staging and presenting your home in its best light to captivate buyers' attention and maximize its appeal.
  • Effective Marketing:  Work with a skilled real estate team, like Jim Stanton & Associates, to implement targeted marketing strategies that reach the right audience and generate interest in your property.

By prioritizing these key factors, you can increase the likelihood of receiving multiple offers and securing the highest and best price for your home.

Get the Help You Need:

At Jim Stanton & Associates, we're here to provide guidance and support tailored to your unique needs. Our team is dedicated to offering personalized assistance in preparing, pricing, and promoting your home based on current market dynamics. Let us be your trusted partners as you navigate the exciting journey of buying or selling real estate in the GTA.

Conclusion:

As we navigate the dynamic GTA real estate market, it's evident that opportunities abound for both buyers and sellers alike. With informed decisions and strategic guidance, you can make the most of these opportunities and achieve your real estate objectives. Reach out to Jim Stanton & Associates today, and let's embark on this journey together, ensuring your success every step of the way.

Contact US

MORE MARKET INSIGHTS (add stats for Markham/Stouffville & Port Hope/Cobourg)

February 2024 Market Stats Markham and Stouffville


February 2024 Market Stats Port Hope and Cobourg

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Spring Cleaning Checklist: 10 Essential Tasks for March

As the chill of winter fades away and the freshness of spring beckons, it's time to give your home a revitalizing makeover.

Neglecting spring cleaning tasks in March can lead to a range of issues, including increased allergens, pest infestations, decreased indoor air quality, decreased appliance lifespan, unpleasant odors, and visual discomfort. Regular maintenance and cleaning are essential for a healthy, comfortable, and enjoyable living environment.

Spring cleaning isn't just about tidying up; it's a chance to refresh and rejuvenate your living space.

Here's a handy checklist of 10 essential tasks to tackle this March:

  1. Declutter Every Room:  Start by decluttering each room in your home. Rid yourself of items you no longer need or use. Donate, recycle, or discard as necessary. Decluttering not only makes your space look better but also promotes mental clarity and calmness.

  2. Deep Clean Floors:  Give your floors some love by deep cleaning them. Vacuum carpets thoroughly, paying attention to corners and under furniture. For hardwood or tile floors, mop with a gentle cleaner to remove dirt and grime.

  3. Dust and Polish Surfaces: Dust accumulates over the winter months, so it's time to banish it. Dust all surfaces, including shelves, tables, and light fixtures. Don't forget to polish wood furniture for a gleaming finish.

  4. Wash Windows and Treatments: Let the spring sunshine in by cleaning your windows inside and out. Remember, it's best to avoid washing windows on sunny days as the sunlight can cause streaks. Instead, choose an overcast day for streak-free results. Don't overlook window treatments like curtains or blinds – give them a good wash or vacuum to remove dust and allergens.

  5. Deep Clean Kitchen Appliances:  Your kitchen appliances have likely seen a lot of action during the winter holidays. Give them a thorough cleaning inside and out. Don't forget the refrigerator coils and oven racks!

  6. Freshen Up Bedding and Mattresses:  Wash all bedding, including sheets, pillowcases, and duvet covers. Take this opportunity to rotate and flip mattresses for even wear and tear.

  7. Organize Closets and Storage Spaces: Take stock of your closets and storage areas. Donate unused clothing and accessories, and organize what's left. Invest in storage solutions like bins or baskets to maximize space.

  8. Clean and Inspect HVAC Systems:  As the weather warms up, it's a good time to clean or replace HVAC filters. Schedule a professional inspection and maintenance service to ensure your heating and cooling systems are running efficiently.

  9. Refresh Bathroom Fixtures: Scrub bathroom surfaces, including sinks, toilets, and tubs. Replace worn-out shower curtains or liners, and stock up on essential toiletries for a fresh start to spring.

  10. Tidy Outdoor Spaces:  Don't forget about the exterior of your home! Sweep pathways, clean outdoor furniture, and spruce up your garden or patio. Trim bushes and trees as needed to welcome the new season.

By tackling these 10 essential tasks for spring cleaning in March, you'll not only enjoy a cleaner and more organized home but also set the stage for a vibrant and refreshing spring season ahead. Happy cleaning!

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Why Now is the Ideal Time to Buy a Home in Central Oshawa

Central Oshawa is on the brink of a remarkable transformation, and for prospective homebuyers, there couldn't be a more opportune moment to invest in this thriving community. 

Here's why:

Reason 1: Massive New Development

Central Oshawa is set to undergo a monumental redevelopment with plans for a sprawling 17.7-acre project situated directly south of the forthcoming Central Oshawa GO Train Station. This ambitious venture will see the emergence of 8-15 new buildings, encompassing a staggering 5,600 residential units and 70,000 square feet of retail and commercial space, all nestled alongside an inviting urban park. The scale of this development is unprecedented and promises to infuse the area with newfound vitality and dynamism.

Black and White CAD rendering of buildings slated for development in Central Oshawa.

The proposed project represents a significant step towards establishing Central Oshawa as a vibrant, mixed-use, transit-oriented neighborhood. With future regional rapid transit connectivity in the pipeline, the stage is set for a wave of community investment and growth. The inclusion of residential towers, street-level commercial establishments, and expansive green spaces underscores a commitment to fostering a diverse and sustainable urban environment.

SEE THE AREA ON OUR INSTAGRAM FEED

Reason 2: New Central Oshawa GO Train Station

As part of the Lakeshore East Expansion Project, Central Oshawa is slated to welcome a brand-new GO Train Station. This station will be nestled between Simcoe St. S. and Ritson Rd. S., will serve as a pivotal multi-modal transportation hub, offering seamless connectivity for commuters and residents alike. With rush hour service every 30 minutes, commuters can look forward to trimming 15 minutes off their daily travel time, enhancing both convenience and accessibility.

2 Trains at a Go Station.

Moreover, the new station is poised to catalyze revitalization efforts in the surrounding area, positioning Central Oshawa as a thriving transit-oriented hub. From providing a vital link to the regional transit system to accommodating the diverse needs of students and the workforce, this station promises to be a transformative addition to the community.

Map showing the project footprint for the Oshawa Segment of the Lakeshore East Go Train extension.

Summary:

In summary, the impending redevelopment of Central Oshawa heralds a new era of opportunity and growth for prospective homeowners. With the prospect of a vibrant mixed-use community taking shape and enhanced transit infrastructure on the horizon, Central Oshawa is primed to emerge as a sought-after destination for residents and investors alike. By seizing the opportunity to invest in this burgeoning locale now, homeowners stand to benefit from the immense value appreciation and enriched quality of life that this transformative redevelopment promises to deliver. The time to embrace the promise of Central Oshawa's future is now.


Connect with our team to learn about your buying options in Central Oshawa, what home values are like, and how you can take advantage of this opportunity as a homeowner or investor. Contact US


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January Market Update

In January 2024, the average selling price of homes across the GTA experienced a one percent year-over-year decline, settling at $1,026,703 according to The MLS® Home Price Index Composite.

Home sales increased compared to the same month in 2023. This rise was partly due to certain homebuyers taking advantage of lower interest rates linked to fixed-rate mortgages.

New property listings also saw a year-over-year increase, the growth rate was lower than that of home sales resulting in tighter market conditions, compared to the previous year, suggesting the possibility of renewed price growth as we transition into the spring market.

The increased demand, coupled with a more modest increase in available homes, may contribute to a potential uptick in housing prices.

Durham & Toronto Market Insights

Every city/town is unique as are the communities within them. Scroll through to find your town

January 2024 Market Stats Durham


January 2024 Market Stats Toronto



Reflecting on last month's post


Last month we proposed the ways our housing market could go in 2024 largely hinging on the potential for mortgage rates to come down based on a reduction in the Bank of Canada's (BoC) policy and that of the fixed-rate bond market.


Well if January is any indication a return to a Seller's Market is imminent. With the BoC pausing rates for the 4th consecutive decision in January and fixed rates looking more favorable buyers have gotten a head start on the Spring Market.


What we are seeing on the ground

In a market characterized by both increased sales and a surge in property listings, home buyers and sellers find themselves navigating a dynamic and competitive landscape.

For Buyers

The spike in listings provides buyers with a broader array of options, but the heightened demand, particularly in the lower price range, has resulted in more properties receiving multiple offers. Despite the competitive atmosphere, there remains ample opportunity for savvy buyers to find a suitable property and engage in negotiations.

For Sellers

Sellers, on the other hand, are benefiting from the renewed demand, potentially receiving more attractive offers. Overall, the market's equilibrium between increased sales and listings creates an environment where both buyers and sellers must adapt to changing dynamics while recognizing opportunities for successful transactions.


MORE MARKET INSIGHTS (add stats for Markham/Stouffville & Port Hope/Cobourg)

January 2024 Market Stats Markham Stouffeville


January 2024 Market Stats Port Hope and Cobourg
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What’s next: A Reflection on 2023 and a look ahead to 2024

2023 Summary for the GTA

Home sales were down in 2023 buyers who stuck it out through higher interest rates in 2023 benefited from more choice and more negotiating power which resulted in paying lower prices when compared to 2023. 

  • Home Sales saw a 12.1 per cent dip compared to 2022.

  • Average sold prices across home types in 2023 saw a 5.4 per cent decline compared to 2022 bringing average sold price down to $1,126,604.

Outlook for 2024

There is little consensus on the future of the real estate market in 2024. Aside from the fact that most experts expect some relief in the Bank of Canada’s Policy rate which should help with borrowing costs for homeowners and would-be buyers. Experts are divided on exactly when, how many and how big an impact interest rate cuts will have. 

The main factors affecting real estate forecasts in 2024.

  • When and how much will the BoC reduce its policy rate in 2024? (2024 BoC announcement schedule)

  • Will changes in variable and fixed rate mortgages be enough to bring buyers back?

  • How will homeowners up for renewal deal with rising financing costs?

2 Potential Outcomes and Everything in Between

A Return to a Sellers Market

If interest rates do come down in 2024 we will see more buyers enter the market. The question is, how many rate cuts could we see and how low could rates go? In March of 2023 a mere pause at 4.5% sent us back into a brief Sellers Market. If that happens again buyers who stay on the fence will regret it. It’s unlikely that we see the kind of pandemic sales we saw but it remains possible that the combination of high immigration, rising rent costs and lower interest rates increases competition for homes in 2024.

A Balanced Market

An environment with modestly lower interest rates could yield a continuation of the current balanced market. This is especially true if inventory remains at 3-4 months worth. Sellers looking to downsize, move up or relocate may be more likely to move when interest rates drop and sellers who are renewing mortgages at a cost that may be too high might decide to sell. This would bring more homes on the market and offset any increases in demand. This seems like the safe bet and most likely outcome to us.

For the Doom Scrollers

The other possibility is for those who love bad news. According to RateHub.ca 80% of all mortgages that were outstanding as of March 2022 will come up for renewal in 2024. That means those borrowers will be renewing at a much higher rate. Per Statistics Canada, mortgage interest payments have soared by nearly 90% since March 2022. Some are forecasting a high volume of distressed sales which if enough homes come on the market without buyers continue to put downward pressure on home prices throughout 2024. This inventory of course would have to outpace demand from new buyers entering the market as interest rates come down. Another factor of note is that for 2024 alone this pool only represents 14% of all mortgages in Canada which relative to the total number of homeowners is very small and Canada’s mortgage stress test will have buffered some of the risk for many of these homeowners.

Our Point of View

For our part the most likely scenario is a balanced market where the push/pull effect of higher interest rates pushing some buyers off and some sellers in while immigration and a slow reduction in interest rates bolster demand could offset one another enough to balance the market in 2024. 

That said if interest rates become too attractive and more buyers enter the market we could see competition for homes pick-up in 2024.

What do you think will happen in 2024?


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December Market Update

The average home price was $1,084,692 in December up 3.2% year-over-year across the GTA in December and flat month-over-month.

Active listings were up compared to 2022 yet down 38.12% vs. November this year. However, a reduction in listings in December is normal through the holiday season. 

Days on Market increased as well both year-over-year and month-over-month.

With 3 months of inventory, the GTA Housing Market was balanced in December 2023.

Durham & Toronto Market Insights

Every city/town is unique as are the communities within them. Scroll through to find your town.

December 2023 Market Stats Durham


December 2023 Market Stats Toronto


What we are seeing on the ground. 

For Buyers

When a market is more balanced and not favouring one side or the other negotiations become more important for buyers and sellers. We continue to see offers accepted with conditions included. It’s become the norm for offers to include Home Inspection and Financing clauses. Beyond understanding the market value for homes and what to offer, Buyers need to go in with the right clauses to give them peace of mind. Sellers need to evaluate offers on more than just price and ensure their agent is qualifying buyers as best as possible when considering an offer.

For Sellers

Many sellers terminated their listings in December as the buyer pool shrunk with the holiday season and our expectation is many will relist in the new year. We have noticed several listings have gone through price changes or were terminated and relisted with new pricing in the last quarter of 2023. For sellers, this is where it is key to know the value of your home, how much you need to get to make the move you want, and what pricing strategy will be most effective in your local market.

MORE MARKET INSIGHTS (add stats for Markham/Stouffville & Port Hope/Cobourg)


December 2023 Market Stats Markham Stouffville
December 2023 Market Stats Northumberland
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GTA Real Estate Update: November 2023 Market Update

The market continued to favour buyers in November despite a slight dip in months of inventory relative to October. Prices were up 0.3% year-over-year but down 3.89% month-over-month. The current average price of a home in the GTA sits at $1,082,179.

November 2023 TRREB GTA Market Update at a Glance

We had 16.5% more new listings relative to November ‘22 although not surprisingly fewer homes (10,545) came on the market in last month relative to October (14,397) as buyers and sellers turned their attention to the holiday season. As a result sales were down 8.82% month over month. Sales were down 6% from November ‘22.

Durham & Toronto Market Insights

Every city/town is unique as are the communities within them. Scroll through to find your town.

November 2023 Market Stats Durham


November 2023 Market Stats Toronto

What does this mean for buyers and sellers?

Buyers

Buyers remain in a strong negotiating position with inventory to choose from and the ability to negotiate favourable terms when presenting offers. Now remains to be a good time to buy. Pricing has been trending downward and with indications pointing to interest rates coming down as early as Q2 2024 buyers who purchase now will be ahead of the curve when those on the sidelines re-enter the market.

Sellers

Fewer properties came online in November meaning sellers today have slightly less competition then they did through October albeit more than a year ago. It continues to be important to price properties effectively to attract buyers who can offer the best possible price and terms. Preparing a home and presenting it to best showcase its strengths is key.

New Legislation

Another big change impacting Real Estate is the release of new regulations governing Realtors®. TRESA or the Trust in Real Estate Services Act replaced previous regulations on December 1, 2023. Among several changes will be a new Open Offer Process available to sellers when listing their property. Read more about this process and it’s impact on buyers and sellers here [insert link to other blog post].

Planning a Move

Whether you are considering upgrading, downsizing or relocating now may be a better time then you think. Purchasing a home in the next 60-90 days may be your ideal time to get a home at the best possible price. Even though mortgage rates are high, making a purchase before they go down and more buyers step back into the market can put you at an advantage. Just be sure to explore your options with qualified professionals including well informed Realtors® like ourselves, lenders, etc. 

Interest Rates and Their Impact:

On December 6th the Bank of Canada held its policy rate for a third straight time indicating we may be at the end of a cycle of increasing rates. Recently, bond yields, which underpin fixed rate mortgages have been trending lower which has provided some short term relief for those looking at fixed rate mortgages. 

A look ahead

As more and more financial experts begin forecasting a move by the Bank of Canada to lower its policy rate in 2024 in response to the changing economy and a growing number of upcoming mortgage renewals, the outlook is better for existing homeowners and those looking to get into the market.

MORE MARKET INSIGHTS

November 2023 Market Stats Markham Stouffville


November 2023 Market Stats Northumberland
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TRESA: What you need to know about the New Open Offer Process

The Open Offer Process

How will more transparency change the offer process?

As housing costs have risen and inventory remains well below demand, multiple offer situations have increased dramatically. Buyers and sellers have demanded more transparency.

In response to that the government has introduced an Open Offer Process with new legislation under TRESA coming into effect on December 1, 2023.

So what does this mean going forward?

The Open Offer Process does not mean all multiple offers will be disclosed from here on out. Sellers will be the ones to decide what if anything they will disclose in the offer process.

Here are the key takeaways:

  1. Sellers initiate the Open Offer Process

  2. Sellers can initiate this at any time in the offer process

  3. Sellers decide what to disclose (ex; price, terms, etc.)

  4. Sellers do not have to disclose that information from all offers received

  5. If offer details are being disclosed, all buyers must receive the information

  6. Sellers must not disclose any personal identifying information about buyers

  7. Sellers must still disclose the number of registered offers to all interested parties

How does this impact you as a Seller?

Sellers can now determine whether they would like to sell their home under the traditional blind bidding process in which buyers are only notified how many offers are registered, or they can choose to disclose select information about one or more offers to all buyers involved. There are advantages and risks to this process but it can open up a myriad of options for sellers and become a powerful negotiating tool to encourage buyers to submit their highest and best offer.

How does this impact you as a Buyer?

For Buyers, it provides some extra consideration when drafting an offer. Knowing that the price or terms of your offer may be disclosed to other buyers can affect your decision to make an offer in the first place. Given the seller determines the process and that they have complete control of when and if they disclose offer information you need to go into each offer fully informed. 

As with Sellers, there are advantages and disadvantages of knowing the terms of competing offers. Knowing how your offer stacks up against competitors can help you negotiate, but you may not always have a complete picture. Sellers are not obliged to provide information on all the competing offers nor are they obliged to provide all the terms on a given offer. 

So how can you come out on top?

This is where working with an experienced Realtor and negotiator is essential. You need someone in your corner who understands the strategies being deployed and can use the available information to help you make strong and secure decisions. We are laser-focused on helping our clients achieve their goals through powerful negotiations and providing valuable insights to help you every step of the way.

Call to book a free Real Estate Consultation with us - 905-995-3372

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