As we step into 2025, the real estate market brings a mix of cautious optimism and strategic opportunities. Whether you're looking to buy, sell, or simply understand the shifting landscape, here are the key insights you need to navigate the year ahead with confidence.

Will I Pay More for a Home in 2025 Than in 2024?

Yes, home prices are expected to rise in 2025, but the extent varies by region and property type. The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) forecasts a 4.4% increase in the national average home price, reaching $713,375. Royal LePage anticipates a 6.0% year-over-year increase by Q4, with single-family homes leading gains at 7.0% and condos experiencing a more modest 3.5% rise. In the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), detached homes could see a 7.0% increase, while condos may decline by 1.0%.

Will the Market Favour Buyers or Sellers?

The market is likely to tilt toward sellers, driven by tightening supply and increased demand. According to Royal LePage, limited new listings will create a competitive environment, especially for single-family homes. However, the condo market in urban centers like Toronto might offer buyers more opportunities due to an oversupply of inventory.

How Will Pricing Be Impacted?

Price growth will be steady but regionally nuanced. Detached homes, particularly in areas with limited supply, are expected to lead price appreciation. Conversely, the condo market may remain softer, offering a rare window of affordability for first-time buyers. Buyers should keep an eye on local market conditions to identify opportunities.

Will the Market Bounce Back in Terms of Sales Volume?

Yes, sales activity is expected to rebound. CREA predicts a 6.6% increase in national home sales, while RBC and TD Economics project even higher growth rates of 12.5% and 15.8%, respectively. The spring market is expected to kickstart this momentum, fueled by declining interest rates and improved buyer confidence.

What Will Happen with Interest Rates in 2025?

Interest rates are expected to continue declining, albeit at a slower pace. After significant rate cuts in 2024, the Bank of Canada is anticipated to reduce its policy rate to between 2.00% and 3.00% by mid-2025. Fixed mortgage rates should stabilize, and variable-rate loans will likely see further reductions, enhancing affordability for buyers.

How Will This Impact My Purchasing Power?

Lower interest rates will improve purchasing power, particularly for first-time buyers and those looking to upsize. However, affordability challenges remain in high-demand markets. It’s crucial to explore financing options early to understand what’s possible.

If I Have a Mortgage, How Will Interest Rates Affect Me?

For those with variable-rate mortgages, the anticipated rate cuts could lower monthly payments or help you apply more to your principal. Fixed-rate mortgage holders nearing renewal may benefit from reduced rates (based on the bond yields coming down), but it’s essential to review your options with a trusted lender to optimize your financial position.

Should You Wait to Buy or Sell?

No—waiting often means missed opportunities. The best time to move is when it aligns with your personal needs and goals. Timing the market is challenging, even for experts, and the reality is that 2025 remains unpredictable.

What you can control is your preparation. Here’s how to get started:

1. Clarify Your Goals: Define what you need in your next home, including location, size, and features, to support your lifestyle.

2. Research the Market: Explore homes in your desired area to understand pricing and trends.

3. Get a Home Selling Consultation: If you’re selling, learn your home’s current market value and develop a strategy to align your sale with your next purchase.

4. Assess Financing Options: Work with a lender to understand your borrowing capacity, mortgage options, and any penalties for breaking or porting an existing mortgage.

We can help. Contact us today to get expert advice.

Final Thoughts

The 2025 real estate market presents opportunities for those prepared to act. Declining interest rates, improving sales volumes, and region-specific price trends provide a landscape where both buyers and sellers can achieve their goals. Success lies in preparation and timely action—don’t let the headlines deter you from making the move that’s right for you.

If you’re ready to take the next step, the Jim Stanton Team is here to guide you through every stage of your real estate journey. Reach out today to start planning your path to success in 2025.