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If you’ve been watching the Toronto and Durham real estate markets lately, you’ve probably noticed the mixed signals. One headline says prices are down; another says competition is heating up. It’s enough to give anyone analysis paralysis.
Let’s cut through the noise. Here is what happened in June 2026 and—more importantly—what it actually means for your wallet, your family, and your next move.
The Big Picture: Sales Are Up, Options Are Down
The biggest takeaway from June is that more people are buying, but fewer people are putting their homes up for sale.
Sales jumped 9.4% compared to last June. People who were waiting on the sidelines are officially moving forward with their lives.
New listings dropped 12.9%. Sellers are holding back, meaning there are fewer homes on the market to choose from.
The average price sits at $1,058,658. While that is about 3.9% lower than last year, the price drop is slowing down because competition is starting to stiffen again.
Property Breakdown: Where is the Action?
Depending on what you are looking to buy or sell, the market feels very different right now. Get local stats for different home types in your market at the bottom of this post.
🏡 Detached Homes (The Family Move)
Average Price: $1,364,204 across the GTA.
The Vibe: Demand is steady (+9.1% in sales). If you are looking in the suburbs (905), the average is closer to $1,272,842. If you want to be in Toronto proper (416), expect an average of $1,648,440.
🏢 Condos (First-Time Buyers & Downsizers)
Average Price: $630,688.
The Vibe: Condo sales saw a huge 14.3% spike. Why? Because prices are down nearly 9.5% from last year, making them the most affordable entry point for first-time buyers and an attractive, equity-releasing option for downsizers.
🏘️ Townhomes & Semi-Detached (The Middle Ground)
The Vibe: These remain the "sweet spot" for growing families. Average townhomes are hovering around $844,579, while semis are at $1,038,973. They are moving steadily because they offer the backyard space of a detached home without the heavier price tag.
📍 Spotlight on Durham Region
For middle-class families looking for more square footage for their dollar, Durham continues to be a massive draw.
Average Price overall: $856,170
Oshawa remains one of the most accessible pockets with an average price of $726,544.
Ajax ($868,651) and Whitby ($936,392) offer great balance for commuters wanting a bit more suburban breathing room.
What Does This Mean for You?
If You Are Buying (First-Timers & Upsizers)
The "buyer's market" window is starting to narrow. Because new listings are dropping, you have less inventory to choose from than you did a few months ago. The Bank of Canada’s overnight rate is sitting at 2.25%, but fixed mortgage rates are still averaging in the mid-5% to low-6% range.
The Strategy: Don't try to perfectly time the absolute "bottom" of the market. Figure out what monthly payment you are comfortable with right now. If you find a home that fits your life and your budget, lock it in before inventory shrinks further.
If You Are Selling (Downsizers & Standard Movers)
You actually have a bit more leverage than you think. Because there are fewer homes competing with yours, serious buyers have fewer options. However, homes are taking a little longer to sell—averaging about 29 days on the market—so patience and realistic pricing are key.
The Strategy: If you are downsizing, selling your larger detached home right now allows you to cash in on a relatively stable market and buy into a condo or townhome segment that has seen some price corrections. It’s a great setup to pocket some serious equity.
☕ Let's Chat Over Coffee
Every neighbourhood—and every street—is behaving a little differently right now. Whether you're trying to figure out how much equity you have to downsize, or you're trying to purchase your very first home, you don't have to guess.
Click below, and let’s look at a customized plan for your specific goals.
