December Market Watch: Seasonal Slowdown Sets the Stage for 2025 Opportunities
As expected, December brought a seasonal cooldown to the GTA housing market. With fewer listings, softened sales, and mixed price trends, both buyers and sellers can find unique opportunities in this quieter time of year. Here’s what the latest data reveals and what it could mean for you.
Market Dynamics
Sales Momentum: December 2024 saw a predictable dip in sales activity, declining 1.8% year-over-year and a significant 43% month-over-month, following November's remarkable 40% year-over-year surge. The seasonal slowdown reflects the typical December pattern as the market winds down for the holidays.
Listing Dynamics: New listings dropped sharply, down nearly 60% from November, but remained 20% higher than December 2023 levels. Active listings, meanwhile, were up 48.5% year-over-year, indicating an inventory buildup compared to the prior December but a noticeable contraction compared to the fall months.
Price Trends: The average sale price for December landed at $1,067,186, down 1.6% year-over-year and 3.5% month-over-month. Looking at the bigger picture, the average sale price for 2024 across all home types came in at $1,117,600—a modest 0.8% dip compared to 2023’s $1,126,263.
Market Status: Listings spent an average of 36 days on the market in December, while total property days on market, including relisted homes, averaged 56 days. These figures underscore the slower pace of activity that defines this time of year.
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Impact of Interest Rates
Impact of Mortgage Rates
The Bank of Canada delivered another rate cut on December 11, reducing the benchmark rate by 0.50%. This move offers relief to variable-rate mortgage holders and those seeking new variable-rate options. However, fixed mortgage rates edged higher earlier in the month, following a lagging response to increased bond yields from the fall. Looking ahead, industry experts anticipate fixed rates will decrease in 2025 as lenders compete for the attention of the 1.2 million Canadians facing mortgage renewals next year.
The next Bank of Canada announcement is on January 24th.
What Does This Mean for Buyers and Sellers?
What Does This Mean for Buyers and Sellers?
For Buyers:
December can present hidden gems for savvy buyers. With fewer active shoppers in the market, competition is reduced, providing more room for negotiation. If you’re able to find a home that fits your needs, you might secure a great deal ahead of the busier spring market.
For Sellers:
A quieter December market can actually work in your favor, with fewer competing listings vying for buyer attention. If your home is well-prepared and strategically marketed, it has the potential to stand out and attract serious buyers. Alternatively, December is an excellent time to prepare for a spring listing, ensuring your home is in prime condition to capitalize on early 2025 demand.
In Conclusion
The December market slowdown is a natural conclusion to the year, but it sets the stage for exciting opportunities in 2025. With interest rates shifting, inventory tightening, and buyer activity expected to pick up, now is the time to plan your next move strategically.
Get the Help You Need:
Ready to buy or sell in the GTA? Contact us today for expert advice and tailored support to navigate this evolving market. Let’s make 2025 your most successful year yet.