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March 2024 GTA Real Estate Market Update

Greetings, GTA homebuyers and sellers! As we step into March 2024, the real estate market continues to paint an exciting picture of growth and opportunity. At Jim Stanton & Associates, we're dedicated to providing you with the latest insights to help you make informed decisions in this dynamic environment. Let's delve into the numbers and what they mean for you.

Market Summary

In February 2024, the GTA real estate market witnessed notable shifts:

  • Sales Momentum: Compared to the same period last year, sales surged by an impressive 17.9%. Additionally, there was a significant month-over-month increase of 32%.
  • Listing Dynamics: New listings experienced a substantial uptick, with a year-over-year increase of 33.5% and a noteworthy month-over-month rise of 37%.
  • Price Trends: The average price demonstrated steady growth, with a 1.1% increase compared to last year and a substantial jump of almost 9% from the previous month.
  • Seller's Advantage: With 1.98 months of inventory available, sellers continued to enjoy favorable conditions in the market.

What's happening locally? Durham & Toronto Market Insights

Every city/town is unique as are the communities within them. Scroll through to find your town


February 2024 Market Stats Durham


February 2024 Market Stats Toronto

What Does This Mean for Buyers and Sellers?

For Buyers:

In a landscape where competition is heating up, but inventory is also rising (just not outpacing sales any longer). preparation is key. To capitalize on opportunities, buyers should:

  • Financial Readiness:  Ensure your finances are in order and work with a reputable lender who can provide guidance and support throughout the buying process.
  • Offer Strategy:  Familiarize yourself with different offer processes, including the Open Offer Process, to navigate negotiations effectively.
  • Market Value Analysis:  Gain insights into how list prices are determined and understand the true market value of a property to make informed decisions.

Opportunity Awaits:

With increasing inventory and the promise of even more homes hitting the market in the spring, now is an opportune time for buyers who are ready to make their move. By staying informed and prepared, buyers can navigate the competitive landscape with confidence and find the perfect home to suit their needs.

For Sellers:

While the market is currently favoring sellers, it's important to note that nothing is guaranteed. With the significant increase in new listings—up by 33.5% year-over-year and 37% month-over-month—buyers now have more options available to them. Consequently, not every home will attract multiple offers.

To position your home for success in this competitive landscape, focus on:

  • Accurate Pricing:  Ensure your home is priced competitively to attract the attention of potential buyers and encourage multiple offers.
  • Strategic Presentation:  Invest in staging and presenting your home in its best light to captivate buyers' attention and maximize its appeal.
  • Effective Marketing:  Work with a skilled real estate team, like Jim Stanton & Associates, to implement targeted marketing strategies that reach the right audience and generate interest in your property.

By prioritizing these key factors, you can increase the likelihood of receiving multiple offers and securing the highest and best price for your home.

Get the Help You Need:

At Jim Stanton & Associates, we're here to provide guidance and support tailored to your unique needs. Our team is dedicated to offering personalized assistance in preparing, pricing, and promoting your home based on current market dynamics. Let us be your trusted partners as you navigate the exciting journey of buying or selling real estate in the GTA.

Conclusion:

As we navigate the dynamic GTA real estate market in March 2024, it's evident that opportunities abound for both buyers and sellers alike. With informed decisions and strategic guidance, you can make the most of these opportunities and achieve your real estate objectives. Reach out to Jim Stanton & Associates today, and let's embark on this journey together, ensuring your success every step of the way.

Contact US

MORE MARKET INSIGHTS (add stats for Markham/Stouffville & Port Hope/Cobourg)

February 2024 Market Stats Markham and Stouffville


February 2024 Market Stats Port Hope and Cobourg

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Spring Cleaning Checklist: 10 Essential Tasks for March

As the chill of winter fades away and the freshness of spring beckons, it's time to give your home a revitalizing makeover.

Neglecting spring cleaning tasks in March can lead to a range of issues, including increased allergens, pest infestations, decreased indoor air quality, decreased appliance lifespan, unpleasant odors, and visual discomfort. Regular maintenance and cleaning are essential for a healthy, comfortable, and enjoyable living environment.

Spring cleaning isn't just about tidying up; it's a chance to refresh and rejuvenate your living space.

Here's a handy checklist of 10 essential tasks to tackle this March:

  1. Declutter Every Room:  Start by decluttering each room in your home. Rid yourself of items you no longer need or use. Donate, recycle, or discard as necessary. Decluttering not only makes your space look better but also promotes mental clarity and calmness.

  2. Deep Clean Floors:  Give your floors some love by deep cleaning them. Vacuum carpets thoroughly, paying attention to corners and under furniture. For hardwood or tile floors, mop with a gentle cleaner to remove dirt and grime.

  3. Dust and Polish Surfaces: Dust accumulates over the winter months, so it's time to banish it. Dust all surfaces, including shelves, tables, and light fixtures. Don't forget to polish wood furniture for a gleaming finish.

  4. Wash Windows and Treatments: Let the spring sunshine in by cleaning your windows inside and out. Remember, it's best to avoid washing windows on sunny days as the sunlight can cause streaks. Instead, choose an overcast day for streak-free results. Don't overlook window treatments like curtains or blinds – give them a good wash or vacuum to remove dust and allergens.

  5. Deep Clean Kitchen Appliances:  Your kitchen appliances have likely seen a lot of action during the winter holidays. Give them a thorough cleaning inside and out. Don't forget the refrigerator coils and oven racks!

  6. Freshen Up Bedding and Mattresses:  Wash all bedding, including sheets, pillowcases, and duvet covers. Take this opportunity to rotate and flip mattresses for even wear and tear.

  7. Organize Closets and Storage Spaces: Take stock of your closets and storage areas. Donate unused clothing and accessories, and organize what's left. Invest in storage solutions like bins or baskets to maximize space.

  8. Clean and Inspect HVAC Systems:  As the weather warms up, it's a good time to clean or replace HVAC filters. Schedule a professional inspection and maintenance service to ensure your heating and cooling systems are running efficiently.

  9. Refresh Bathroom Fixtures: Scrub bathroom surfaces, including sinks, toilets, and tubs. Replace worn-out shower curtains or liners, and stock up on essential toiletries for a fresh start to spring.

  10. Tidy Outdoor Spaces:  Don't forget about the exterior of your home! Sweep pathways, clean outdoor furniture, and spruce up your garden or patio. Trim bushes and trees as needed to welcome the new season.

By tackling these 10 essential tasks for spring cleaning in March, you'll not only enjoy a cleaner and more organized home but also set the stage for a vibrant and refreshing spring season ahead. Happy cleaning!

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New property listed in Central, Oshawa

I have listed a new property at 531 Albert ST in Oshawa. See details here

Renovated top to bottom must see 3 bed + 1 bath home in central Oshawa. 150k spent over last 5 years. Upgrades include Roof with 5/8 plywood sheathing, ice water shield on the breathable underlayment, and flashing 40 yr shingles. Newer front porch including footings all pressure treated wood. Newer soffit, eaves and downspouts. Complete brick repair, primed and painted. Complete basement waterproofing and drainage system. Newer kitchen, bathroom, vinyl plank flooring throughout, trim, doors, windows thermal pain glass, stainless steel appliances, freshly painted + more. Steps to proposed central Oshawa Go station site and future proposed commercial and residential development.

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Why Now is the Ideal Time to Buy a Home in Central Oshawa

Central Oshawa is on the brink of a remarkable transformation, and for prospective homebuyers, there couldn't be a more opportune moment to invest in this thriving community. 

Here's why:

Reason 1: Massive New Development

Central Oshawa is set to undergo a monumental redevelopment with plans for a sprawling 17.7-acre project situated directly south of the forthcoming Central Oshawa GO Train Station. This ambitious venture will see the emergence of 8-15 new buildings, encompassing a staggering 5,600 residential units and 70,000 square feet of retail and commercial space, all nestled alongside an inviting urban park. The scale of this development is unprecedented and promises to infuse the area with newfound vitality and dynamism.

Black and White CAD rendering of buildings slated for development in Central Oshawa.

The proposed project represents a significant step towards establishing Central Oshawa as a vibrant, mixed-use, transit-oriented neighborhood. With future regional rapid transit connectivity in the pipeline, the stage is set for a wave of community investment and growth. The inclusion of residential towers, street-level commercial establishments, and expansive green spaces underscores a commitment to fostering a diverse and sustainable urban environment.

SEE THE AREA ON OUR INSTAGRAM FEED

Reason 2: New Central Oshawa GO Train Station

As part of the Lakeshore East Expansion Project, Central Oshawa is slated to welcome a brand-new GO Train Station. This station will be nestled between Simcoe St. S. and Ritson Rd. S., will serve as a pivotal multi-modal transportation hub, offering seamless connectivity for commuters and residents alike. With rush hour service every 30 minutes, commuters can look forward to trimming 15 minutes off their daily travel time, enhancing both convenience and accessibility.

2 Trains at a Go Station.

Moreover, the new station is poised to catalyze revitalization efforts in the surrounding area, positioning Central Oshawa as a thriving transit-oriented hub. From providing a vital link to the regional transit system to accommodating the diverse needs of students and the workforce, this station promises to be a transformative addition to the community.

Map showing the project footprint for the Oshawa Segment of the Lakeshore East Go Train extension.

Summary:

In summary, the impending redevelopment of Central Oshawa heralds a new era of opportunity and growth for prospective homeowners. With the prospect of a vibrant mixed-use community taking shape and enhanced transit infrastructure on the horizon, Central Oshawa is primed to emerge as a sought-after destination for residents and investors alike. By seizing the opportunity to invest in this burgeoning locale now, homeowners stand to benefit from the immense value appreciation and enriched quality of life that this transformative redevelopment promises to deliver. The time to embrace the promise of Central Oshawa's future is now.


Connect with our team to learn about your buying options in Central Oshawa, what home values are like, and how you can take advantage of this opportunity as a homeowner or investor. Contact US


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January Market Update

January Market Update

 In January 2024, the average selling price of homes across the GTA experienced a one percent year-over-year decline, settling at $1,026,703 according to The MLS® Home Price Index Composite. While home sales increased compared to the same month in 2023. This rise was partly due to certain homebuyers taking advantage of lower interest rates linked to fixed-rate mortgages. While new property listings also saw a year-over-year increase, the growth rate was lower than that of home sales. The resulting tighter market conditions, compared to the previous year, suggest the possibility of renewed price growth as we transition into the spring market. Essentially, the increased demand, coupled with a more modest increase in available homes, may contribute to a potential uptick in housing prices.


 Toronto Market Insights

1920x965-January 2024 Market Stats Toronto by Ben Stanton

 

What we are seeing on the ground

In a market characterized by both increased sales and a surge in property listings, home buyers and sellers find themselves navigating a dynamic and competitive landscape. The spike in listings provides buyers with a broader array of options, but the heightened demand, particularly in the lower price range, has resulted in more properties receiving multiple offers. Despite the competitive atmosphere, there remains ample opportunity for savvy buyers to find a suitable property and engage in negotiations. Sellers, on the other hand, are benefiting from the renewed demand, potentially receiving more attractive offers. Overall, the market's equilibrium between increased sales and listings creates an environment where both buyers and sellers must adapt to changing dynamics while recognizing opportunities for successful transactions.

Read

January Market Update

In January 2024, the average selling price of homes across the GTA experienced a one percent year-over-year decline, settling at $1,026,703 according to The MLS® Home Price Index Composite.

Home sales increased compared to the same month in 2023. This rise was partly due to certain homebuyers taking advantage of lower interest rates linked to fixed-rate mortgages.

New property listings also saw a year-over-year increase, the growth rate was lower than that of home sales resulting in tighter market conditions, compared to the previous year, suggesting the possibility of renewed price growth as we transition into the spring market.

The increased demand, coupled with a more modest increase in available homes, may contribute to a potential uptick in housing prices.

Durham & Toronto Market Insights

Every city/town is unique as are the communities within them. Scroll through to find your town

January 2024 Market Stats Durham


January 2024 Market Stats Toronto



Reflecting on last month's post


Last month we proposed the ways our housing market could go in 2024 largely hinging on the potential for mortgage rates to come down based on a reduction in the Bank of Canada's (BoC) policy and that of the fixed-rate bond market.


Well if January is any indication a return to a Seller's Market is imminent. With the BoC pausing rates for the 4th consecutive decision in January and fixed rates looking more favorable buyers have gotten a head start on the Spring Market.


What we are seeing on the ground

In a market characterized by both increased sales and a surge in property listings, home buyers and sellers find themselves navigating a dynamic and competitive landscape.

For Buyers

The spike in listings provides buyers with a broader array of options, but the heightened demand, particularly in the lower price range, has resulted in more properties receiving multiple offers. Despite the competitive atmosphere, there remains ample opportunity for savvy buyers to find a suitable property and engage in negotiations.

For Sellers

Sellers, on the other hand, are benefiting from the renewed demand, potentially receiving more attractive offers. Overall, the market's equilibrium between increased sales and listings creates an environment where both buyers and sellers must adapt to changing dynamics while recognizing opportunities for successful transactions.


MORE MARKET INSIGHTS (add stats for Markham/Stouffville & Port Hope/Cobourg)

January 2024 Market Stats Markham Stouffeville


January 2024 Market Stats Port Hope and Cobourg
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NEWS ALERT: Foreign Buyer Ban Extended 2 Years

 In a news release the federal government has announced that it will be extending the: Prohibition on the Purchase of Residential Property by Non-Canadians Act,

Known as “the Foreign Buyers Ban” for an additional 2 years. This means the ban on foreign buyers will be in place until at least 2027. 

Key Highlights of the Act include:

  • The Act defines residential property as buildings with 3 dwelling units or less. This includes semi-detached houses and condominium units. The Act doesn’t prohibit the purchase of larger buildings with 4 or more dwelling units.
  • Non-Canadians can purchase residential properties located outside of Census Metropolitan Areas (CMA) and Census Agglomerations (CA). CMA is defined as having a population of over 100,000 with 50,000 or more living in the core. CA defined as having a population of over 10,000.

*contact me today to find out what areas are not included in this ban.

  • Certain exceptions apply allowing Non-Canadians to purchase a residential property in defined circumstances. Including temporary residents working or studying in Canada, refugees and non-Canadian spouses or common law partners buying with their partner or spouse who is Canadian or has an exemption.
  • If a non-Canadian, or anyone who knowingly assists a non-Canadian, is convicted of violating the prohibition, they will have to pay a fine of up to $10,000. Additionally, a court can order the sale of the residential property.

Source: CMHC

 I hope you found this information helpful and please feel free to reach out if you have any questions relating to this or anything else real estate related.

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VACANT HOME TAX - DECLARATION OF OCCUPANCY STATUS

The city of Toronto says on its website that the goal of the Vacant Home Tax (VHT) is to increase the supply of housing by discouraging owners from leaving their residential properties unoccupied. Homeowners who choose to keep their properties vacant will be subject to a tax of one percent of the property's Current Value AssessmentRevenues collected from the Vacant Home Tax will be allocated towards affordable housing initiatives.

Owners of properties in Toronto that are classified within the residential property tax class are required to declare occupancy status every year. The deadline to declare is February 29, 2024.

Use the URL below to get to the City of Toronto webpage to submit your declaration.

https://www.toronto.ca/services-payments/property-taxes-utilities/vacant-home-tax/vacant-home-tax-declaration-of-occupancy-status/

If you do not qualify for an exemption, the city will send you a notice at the end of March showing your VHT amount owing. Payment will be due in three installments in May, June and July.

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What’s next: A Reflection on 2023 and a look ahead to 2024

2023 Summary for the GTA

Home sales were down in 2023 buyers who stuck it out through higher interest rates in 2023 benefited from more choice and more negotiating power which resulted in paying lower prices when compared to 2023. 

  • Home Sales saw a 12.1 per cent dip compared to 2022.

  • Average sold prices across home types in 2023 saw a 5.4 per cent decline compared to 2022 bringing average sold price down to $1,126,604.

Outlook for 2024

There is little consensus on the future of the real estate market in 2024. Aside from the fact that most experts expect some relief in the Bank of Canada’s Policy rate which should help with borrowing costs for homeowners and would-be buyers. Experts are divided on exactly when, how many and how big an impact interest rate cuts will have. 

The main factors affecting real estate forecasts in 2024.

  • When and how much will the BoC reduce its policy rate in 2024? (2024 BoC announcement schedule)

  • Will changes in variable and fixed rate mortgages be enough to bring buyers back?

  • How will homeowners up for renewal deal with rising financing costs?

2 Potential Outcomes and Everything in Between

A Return to a Sellers Market

If interest rates do come down in 2024 we will see more buyers enter the market. The question is, how many rate cuts could we see and how low could rates go? In March of 2023 a mere pause at 4.5% sent us back into a brief Sellers Market. If that happens again buyers who stay on the fence will regret it. It’s unlikely that we see the kind of pandemic sales we saw but it remains possible that the combination of high immigration, rising rent costs and lower interest rates increases competition for homes in 2024.

A Balanced Market

An environment with modestly lower interest rates could yield a continuation of the current balanced market. This is especially true if inventory remains at 3-4 months worth. Sellers looking to downsize, move up or relocate may be more likely to move when interest rates drop and sellers who are renewing mortgages at a cost that may be too high might decide to sell. This would bring more homes on the market and offset any increases in demand. This seems like the safe bet and most likely outcome to us.

For the Doom Scrollers

The other possibility is for those who love bad news. According to RateHub.ca 80% of all mortgages that were outstanding as of March 2022 will come up for renewal in 2024. That means those borrowers will be renewing at a much higher rate. Per Statistics Canada, mortgage interest payments have soared by nearly 90% since March 2022. Some are forecasting a high volume of distressed sales which if enough homes come on the market without buyers continue to put downward pressure on home prices throughout 2024. This inventory of course would have to outpace demand from new buyers entering the market as interest rates come down. Another factor of note is that for 2024 alone this pool only represents 14% of all mortgages in Canada which relative to the total number of homeowners is very small and Canada’s mortgage stress test will have buffered some of the risk for many of these homeowners.

Our Point of View

For our part the most likely scenario is a balanced market where the push/pull effect of higher interest rates pushing some buyers off and some sellers in while immigration and a slow reduction in interest rates bolster demand could offset one another enough to balance the market in 2024. 

That said if interest rates become too attractive and more buyers enter the market we could see competition for homes pick-up in 2024.

What do you think will happen in 2024?


Read

December Market Update

The average home price was $1,084,692 in December up 3.2% year-over-year across the GTA in December and flat month-over-month.

Active listings were up compared to 2022 yet down 38.12% vs. November this year. However, a reduction in listings in December is normal through the holiday season. 

Days on Market increased as well both year-over-year and month-over-month.

With 3 months of inventory, the GTA Housing Market was balanced in December 2023.

Durham & Toronto Market Insights

Every city/town is unique as are the communities within them. Scroll through to find your town.

December 2023 Market Stats Durham


December 2023 Market Stats Toronto


What we are seeing on the ground. 

For Buyers

When a market is more balanced and not favouring one side or the other negotiations become more important for buyers and sellers. We continue to see offers accepted with conditions included. It’s become the norm for offers to include Home Inspection and Financing clauses. Beyond understanding the market value for homes and what to offer, Buyers need to go in with the right clauses to give them peace of mind. Sellers need to evaluate offers on more than just price and ensure their agent is qualifying buyers as best as possible when considering an offer.

For Sellers

Many sellers terminated their listings in December as the buyer pool shrunk with the holiday season and our expectation is many will relist in the new year. We have noticed several listings have gone through price changes or were terminated and relisted with new pricing in the last quarter of 2023. For sellers, this is where it is key to know the value of your home, how much you need to get to make the move you want, and what pricing strategy will be most effective in your local market.

MORE MARKET INSIGHTS (add stats for Markham/Stouffville & Port Hope/Cobourg)


December 2023 Market Stats Markham Stouffville
December 2023 Market Stats Northumberland
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A Reflection on 2023 and a look ahead to 2024

What’s next: A Reflection on 2023 and a look ahead to 2024

2023 Summary for the GTA

Home sales were down in 2023. Buyers who stuck it out through higher interest rates in 2023 benefited from more choice and more negotiating power which resulted in paying lower prices when compared to 2022. 

  • Home Sales saw a 12.1 per cent dip compared to 2022.

  • Average sold prices across home types in 2023 saw a 5.4 per cent decline compared to 2022 bringing average sold price down to $1,126,604.

Outlook for 2024

There is little consensus on the future of the real estate market in 2024. Aside from the fact that most experts expect some relief in the Bank of Canada’s Policy rate which should help with borrowing costs for homeowners and would-be buyers. Experts are divided on exactly when, how many and how big an impact interest rate cuts will have. 

The main factors affecting real estate forecasts in 2024.

  • When and how much will the BoC reduce its policy rate in 2024? (2024 BoC announcement schedule)

  • Will changes in variable and fixed rate mortgages be enough to bring buyers back?

  • How will homeowners up for renewal deal with rising financing costs?

2 Potential Outcomes and Everything in Between

A Return to a Sellers Market

If interest rates do come down in 2024 we will see more buyers enter the market. The question is, how many rate cuts could we see and how low could rates go? In March of 2023 a mere pause at 4.5% sent us back into a brief Sellers Market. If that happens again buyers who stay on the fence will regret it. It’s unlikely that we see the kind of pandemic sales we saw but it remains possible that the combination of high immigration, rising rent costs and lower interest rates increases competition for homes in 2024.

A Balanced Market

An environment with modestly lower interest rates could yield a continuation of the current balanced market. This is especially true if inventory remains at 3-4 months worth. Sellers looking to downsize, move up or relocate may be more likely to move when interest rates drop and sellers who are renewing mortgages at a cost that may be too high might decide to sell. This would bring more homes on the market and offset any increases in demand. This seems like the safe bet and most likely outcome to us.

For the Doom Scrollers

The other possibility is for those who love bad news. According to RateHub.ca 80% of all mortgages that were outstanding as of March 2022 will come up for renewal in 2024. That means those borrowers will be renewing at a much higher rate. Per Statistics Canada, mortgage interest payments have soared by nearly 90% since March 2022. Some are forecasting a high volume of distressed sales which if enough homes come on the market without buyers continue to put downward pressure on home prices throughout 2024. This inventory of course would have to outpace demand from new buyers entering the market as interest rates come down. Another factor of note is that for 2024 alone this pool only represents 14% of all mortgages in Canada which relative to the total number of homeowners is very small and Canada’s mortgage stress test will have buffered some of the risk for many of these homeowners.

Our Point of View

For our part the most likely scenario is a balanced market where the push/pull effect of higher interest rates pushing some buyers off and some sellers in while immigration and a slow reduction in interest rates bolster demand could offset one another enough to balance the market in 2024. 

That said if interest rates become too attractive and more buyers enter the market we could see competition for homes pick-up in 2024.

What do you think will happen in 2024?


Read

December Market Update

Across the entire GTA the average home price was $1,084,692 in December up 3.2% year-over-year in December and flat month-over-month. 

Active listings were up compared to 2022 yet down 38.12% vs. November this year. However, a reduction in listings in December is normal through the holiday season. 

Days on Market increased as well both year-over-year and month-over-month.

With 3 months of inventory the GTA Housing Market was balanced in December 2023.


Toronto Market Insights

What we are seeing on the ground. 

For Buyers

When a market is more balanced and not favouring one side or the other negotiations become more important for buyers and sellers. We continue to see offers accepted with conditions included. It’s become the norm for offers to include Home Inspection and Financing clauses. Beyond understanding market value for homes and what to offer, Buyers need to go in with the right clauses to give them peace of mind. Sellers need to really evaluate offers on more than just price and ensure their agent is qualifying buyers as best as possible when considering an offer.


For Sellers

Many sellers terminated their listings in December as the buyer pool shrunk with the holiday season and our expectation is many will relist in the new year. We have noticed several listings have gone through price changes or  terminated and relisted with new pricing in the last quarter of 2023. For sellers this is where it is key to know the value of your home, what you need to get in order to make the move you want and what pricing strategy will be most effective in your local market.


Read
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